The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 42.77% | 28.07% | 29.16% |
| Both teams to score 45.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
