Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
