Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Oct 5, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadyen Haradski

Isloch
3 - 2
Smorgon

Butsko (33'), Rovdo (38'), Yudchits (48')
Kobeev (54'), Galyata (70'), Gomanov (79'), Veretilo (85'), Yudchits (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leonovich (55' pen., 85' pen.)
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Isloch and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Isloch

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Isloch
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 0-3 Vitebsk
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.

Result
IslochDrawSmorgon
53.73% (-0.132 -0.13)25.64% (0.053999999999998 0.05)20.62% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 45% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86% (-0.117 -0.12)57.13% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)78% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Isloch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)21.33% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.156 -0.16)54.28% (0.153 0.15)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.013000000000005 0.01)42.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (0.012 0.01)79.12% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Isloch 53.72%
    Smorgon 20.62%
    Draw 25.63%
IslochDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 14.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.11%
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.62%

Head to Head
May 16, 2024 4.50pm
Gameweek 9
Smorgon
1-1
Isloch
Kopytich (86')
Shalashnikov (40'), Kopytich (86')
Shestyuk (39')
Aug 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Isloch
1-0
Smorgon
Rovdo (81')

Kabachevski (59')
Apr 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Smorgon
0-4
Isloch
Senko (17'), Rovdo (18'), Kwabena Adu (24', 60')
Jul 25, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 17
Smorgon
1-2
Isloch
Pasevich (59')
Zadi Zokou (32')
Lisakovich (6'), Dibango (80')
Patotsky (22'), Morozov (79')
Mar 19, 2021 6.15pm
Gameweek 2
Isloch
2-0
Smorgon
Komarovski (17', 50' pen.)
Kozyrenko (28'), Shalashnikov (70')

Kaborda (49'), M'pomezok (52')