Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 62.5%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.27%) and 3-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.