Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
