Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
