Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
