Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Zambia | 
| 54.54% | 23.53% | 21.92% | 
| Both teams to score 52.86% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.39% | 47.61% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.19% | 69.81% | 
| Tunisia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.66% | 17.34% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.28% | 47.72% | 
| Zambia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.95% | 36.05% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.17% | 72.83% | 
| Score Analysis | 
     Tunisia 54.54%
     Zambia 21.92%
     Draw 23.53%
| Tunisia | Draw | Zambia | 
| 1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.92% | 
How you voted: Tunisia vs Zambia
Tunisia
73.3%Draw
6.7%Zambia
20.0%30
 rhs 2.0 
 
 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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