Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.