Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chinese Taipei had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Chinese Taipei win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.