Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Chinese Taipei had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Chinese Taipei win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.