USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 20, 2025 at 11pm UK
Masafi Stadium
Panama national football team

USA
0 - 1
Panama


Richards (72'), Richards (72'), Pulisic (90'), Pulisic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Waterman Ruiz (90+4', 90+4')
Waterman Ruiz (90+6'), Waterman Ruiz (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
USADrawPanama
60.03% (0.638 0.64)22.46% (-0.338 -0.34)17.51% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (0.919 0.92)49.06% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (0.825 0.82)71.14% (-0.822 -0.82)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (0.53700000000001 0.54)15.94% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (0.974 0.97)45.21% (-0.97 -0.97)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36% (0.185 0.19)41.64% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.162 0.16)78.13% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    USA 60.03%
    Panama 17.51%
    Draw 22.45%
USADrawPanama
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 6% (0.131 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.03%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.51%

How you voted: USA vs Panama

USA
87.5%
Draw
5.0%
Panama
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 2am
Friendlies 1
USA
2-0
Panama
Musah (49'), Pepi (90+4')
Jun 27, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Panama
2-1
USA
Blackman (26'), Fajardo (83')
Guerrero (45'), Farina (90+2'), Gondola (90+3')
Carrasquilla (88')
Balogun (22')
Robinson (33'), Richards (89')
Weah (18')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
Semi-Finals
USA
1-1
Panama
(Aggregate 1-1 | Panama win 5-4 on penalties)
Ferreira (105')
Robinson (86')
Anderson (99')
Godoy (101')
Mar 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
USA
5-1
Panama
Pulisic (17' pen., 45+4' pen., 65'), Arriola (23'), Ferreira (27')
Pulisic (69'), Long (85')
Godoy (86')
Godoy (45+3'), Blackburn (45+3'), Davis (57')
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Panama
1-0
USA
Godoy (54')
Stephens (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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