Friendlies 1

Jan 23, 2025 at 12am UK

Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium

USA
3 - 0
Costa Rica

White (21', 21'), Clark (77', 77'), Agyemang (90', 90')
Robinson (40'), Robinson (40'), McGlynn (69'), McGlynn (69'), Miljevic (72'), Miljevic (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alberto van der Putte Campos (39'), Alberto van der Putte Campos (39'), Faerron (65'), Faerron (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between USA and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Last Game: USA 3-1 Venezuela
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 2-2 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 19 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Costa Rica
65.42% ( 0.29)	21.1% ( -0.19)	13.48% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 44.15% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

0.53)

50.76% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

0.46)

72.66% (

-0.47)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

0.27)

14.75% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.01% (

0.51)

42.99% (

-0.51)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.79% (

0.16)

48.21% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.61% (

0.12)

83.38% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

USA 65.42%

Costa Rica 13.48%

Draw 21.1%

USA	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 65.42%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.1%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 13.48%