Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
