UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
Georgia national football team

Ukraine
1 - 0
Georgia

Mudryk (35')
Matviyenko (29'), Kaliuzhnyi (45+5'), Konoplya (76'), Talovierov (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kashia (11'), Dvali (39'), Kochorashvili (63'), Shengelia (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ukraine in this match.

Result
UkraineDrawGeorgia
56.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)23.89% (0.012 0.01)19.46% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)18.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)49.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)77.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 56.65%
    Georgia 19.46%
    Draw 23.88%
UkraineDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.65%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Georgia

Ukraine
30.9%
Draw
19.1%
Georgia
50.0%
188
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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