UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Sweden national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Azerbaijan national football team

Sweden
6 - 0
Azerbaijan

Kulusevski (10', 57'), Gyokeres (26', 37', 58', 70')
Gudmundsson (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Krivotsyuk (23'), Seydiyev (54'), Diniyev (57'), Mustafazada (73'), Bayramov (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 82.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 5.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
82.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)11.69% (0.025 0.03)5.84% (0.008 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.7% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.66% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)31.33% (0.090999999999998 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.21% (-0.11 -0.11)52.78% (0.107 0.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.37% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)5.62% (0.023099999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.2% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)21.8% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)51.57% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.27% (-0.029 -0.03)85.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 82.46%
    Azerbaijan 5.84%
    Draw 11.69%
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 12.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 5.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
7-0 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 82.46%
1-1 @ 5.53% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.9% (0.015 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 11.69%
0-1 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 5.84%

How you voted: Sweden vs Azerbaijan

Sweden
83.1%
Draw
8.9%
Azerbaijan
8.1%
124
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
1-3
Sweden
Dadasov (82')
Dadasov (49'), Dzhenetov (79')
Isak (65', 71'), Gyokeres (80' pen.)
Wahlqvist (59'), Saletros (90+1')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
3-0
Sweden
Mahmudov (3', 89'), Dadasov (6')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')

Kulusevski (46'), Cajuste (52'), Andersson (56')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sweden
5-0
Azerbaijan
Forsberg (38'), Mustafazada (65' og.), Gyokeres (79'), Karlsson (88'), Elanga (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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