MX23RW : Sunday, June 9 23:48:31| >> :60:457:457:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Friends Arena
Serbia national football team

Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Milinkovic-Savic (18'), Mitrovic (60'), Tadic (70')
Milenkovic (45+2'), Pavlovic (45+2'), Lukic (45+1'), Hien (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Sweden and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Serbia

 With lethal marksmen at both ends of the field, goals should be a guarantee on Saturday, and Serbia have typically responded well to suffering defeat over the past year. Such an ability to bounce back may not extend to victory on Swedish soil, as Tomasson's side gave Denmark a terrific run for their money and can realistically hope for a score draw, a marked improvement on their Nations League affairs with the Serbians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawSerbia
53.84% (0.073 0.07) 24.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.46% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.17299999999999 0.17)52.8% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.146 0.15)74.43% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)19.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.156 0.16)51.48% (-0.154 -0.15)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (0.074999999999996 0.07)39.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.067999999999998 0.07)76.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 53.83%
    Serbia 21.46%
    Draw 24.7%
SwedenDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Sweden vs Serbia

Sweden
48.4%
Draw
26.4%
Serbia
25.2%
159
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Serbia
4-1
Sweden
Mitrovic (18', 45+1', 50'), Lukic (70')
Claesson (15')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Sweden
0-1
Serbia

Svanberg (34'), Olsson (42')
Jovic (45+3')
Gudelj (28'), Duricic (36'), Pavlovic (60'), Racic (89')
> Preview
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