Suriname

4 - 1

St Vincent & Gr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.