CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK

Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Suriname
5 - 1
Guyana

Becker (3', 3', 10', 10'), Misidjan (33', 33'), Jubitana (51', 51'), Haps (69', 69')
Pherai (29'), Pherai (29'), Pinas (66'), Pinas (66')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Jones (13', 13')
Gordon (35'), Gordon (35'), Kellman (45+3'), Kellman (45+3'), Lovell (64'), Lovell (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Suriname and Guyana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Guyana

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 72.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
Suriname	Draw	Guyana
72.83% ( -3.63)	16.58% ( 1.62)	10.59% ( 2.01)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

2.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.92% (

-1.28)

38.08% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.65% (

-1.37)

60.34% (

1.36)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.9% (

-1.13)

9.09% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.1% (

-2.76)

30.9% (

2.75)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.98% (

3.25)

45.01% (

-3.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

2.48)

80.94% (

-2.49)

Score Analysis

Suriname 72.82%

Guyana 10.59%

Draw 16.58%

Suriname	Draw	Guyana
2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.97) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.92) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.24) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.62) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.32) Other @ 4.08% Total : 72.82%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.74) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.48) Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.58%	0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.59%