Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.