UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
Denmark national football team

Spain
1 - 0
Denmark

Zubimendi (79')
Raya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hjulmand (23'), Kristansen (85'), Bah (88'), Nelsson (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Martin Zubimendi scores the only goal of the match as Spain record a 1-0 victory over Denmark in Saturday night's UEFA Nations League fixture.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Spain and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Denmark.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-4 Spain
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawDenmark
47.98% (0.201 0.2)23.77% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)28.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)65.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.070999999999998 0.07)18.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.117 0.12)48.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.134 -0.13)28.34% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.174 -0.17)64.07% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Spain 47.98%
    Denmark 28.26%
    Draw 23.76%
SpainDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Spain vs Denmark

Spain
79.1%
Draw
10.9%
Denmark
10.0%
201
rhs 2.0
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