Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.