Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
2 - 0
Burundi

Diarra (35', 51')
Diarra (41'), Hadji Malick Diouf (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Burundi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Burundi
68.78% ( -0.24)	18.83% ( 0.04)	12.39% ( 0.2)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Senegal	Draw	Burundi
2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 68.77%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.83%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.39%