Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
