World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino
1 - 5
Romania

Zannoni (67')
Benvenuti (69'), Cevoli (74'), Nanni (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cevoli (6' og.), Popescu (44'), Marin (55' pen.), Hagi (75' pen.), Alibec (90+4')
Politic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between San Marino and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 2-0 San Marino
Friday, March 21 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Romania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Romania 0-1 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 5.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.39%) and 0-3 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Romania
5.88% ( 0.24)	14.98% ( 0.34)	79.13% ( -0.57)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

San Marino	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.41% Total : 5.88%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.98%	0-2 @ 16.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 12.79% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 7.38% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 79.12%