CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Beausejour Stadium
Saint Lucia national football team

Saint Martin
1 - 2
St Lucia

Raga Rigobert (30', 30')
Montantin (55'), Montantin (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elva (76', 76', 90', 90')
Charles (15'), Charles (15'), Joseph (90+4'), Joseph (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 4-0 Saint Martin
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-2 St Lucia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Saint MartinDrawSaint Lucia
53.73% (0.143 0.14)20.6% (-0.301 -0.3)25.67% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 67.96% (1.341 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.18% (1.658 1.66)29.82% (-1.655 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.02% (1.977 1.98)50.98% (-1.974 -1.97)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (0.595 0.59)11.46% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.72% (1.27 1.27)36.28% (-1.266 -1.27)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (1.008 1.01)23.24% (-1.005 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (1.448 1.45)57.16% (-1.443 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 53.73%
    Saint Lucia 25.67%
    Draw 20.6%
Saint MartinDrawSaint Lucia
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.413 -0.41)
3-2 @ 4.81% (0.173 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (0.152 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.109 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.34% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.67%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!