Friendlies 3
May 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Thelbert Carti
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Saint Martin
4 - 1
Saint Kitts

FT(HT: 6-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Saint Martin and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 Saint Martin
Monday, November 18 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Wednesday, May 21 at 12am in International Friendlies
Next Game: St Vincent & Gr. vs. Saint Kitts
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.

Result
Saint MartinDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
54.32% (2.305 2.31)21.35% (0.342 0.34)24.33% (-2.645 -2.65)
Both teams to score 63.53% (-4.208 -4.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-4.285 -4.29)34.92% (4.288 4.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-4.947 -4.95)56.9% (4.951 4.95)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)12.99% (0.776 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.5% (-1.6 -1.6)39.5% (1.604 1.6)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-4.148 -4.15)26.98% (4.151 4.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-5.773 -5.77)62.32% (5.776 5.78)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 54.32%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 24.33%
    Draw 21.35%
Saint MartinDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.459 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.3% (1.136 1.14)
1-0 @ 7.15% (1.289 1.29)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.647 0.65)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.451 -0.45)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.264 0.26)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.302 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.079 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.71 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.716 0.72)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.472 0.47)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.575 -0.58)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.469 -0.47)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 24.33%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7pm
League C
Saint Martin
1-3
Saint Kitts
Arne (31')
Williams (26'), Sawyers (35'), Panayiotou (89')
Jun 13, 2022 12am
League C
Saint Kitts
1-1
Saint Martin
Clarke (90+3')
Arne (34')
Dalmat (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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