Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
