Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.