Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Watford |
37.94% | 26.39% | 35.67% |
Both teams to score 52.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% | 51.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% | 73.64% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% | 26.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.14% | 61.86% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% | 27.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% | 63.57% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 48 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 46 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 41 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 39 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 35 |
7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
8 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Liverpool | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
10 | Chelsea | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 31 |
11 | Aston Villa | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 24 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 24 |
15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 23 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 19 |
18 | Everton | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 18 |
19 | Bournemouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 15 |
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