Portland Timbers
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Colorado Rapids

Portland
2 - 1
Colorado

Antony (59', 59'), Kelsy (76', 76')
Surman (24'), Surman (24'), Moreno (83'), Moreno (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mihailovic (33', 33')
Cabral (90+7'), Cabral (90+7')
Alix Frederick II (67'), Alix Frederick II (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawColorado Rapids
58.16% (-0.12 -0.12)21.19% (0.014000000000003 0.01)20.64% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.86% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.066000000000003 0.07)38.76% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.069000000000003 0.07)61.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)13.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (0.13200000000001 0.13)32.26% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (0.152 0.15)68.76% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.16%
    Colorado Rapids 20.65%
    Draw 21.19%
Portland TimbersDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.19%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 20.65%

How you voted: Portland vs Colorado

Portland Timbers
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Colorado Rapids
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2025 1.30am
Colorado
0-3
Portland
Atencio (45+1' og.), Antony (48'), Kelsy (75')
Sep 15, 2024 2.30am
Colorado
2-1
Portland
Lewis (14'), Navarro (71')
Harris (65')
Yapi (90+7')
Ayala (24')
Chara (78')
Aug 2, 2024 3.30am
Group Stage
Portland
4-0
Colorado
Antony (30'), Ayala (52'), Toye (69'), Moreno (71')
Crepeau (83'), Paredes (84')

Maxso (31')
Feb 25, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-1
Colorado
Williamson (9'), Antony (14', 29'), Vines (45+5' og.)
Paredes (45'), Miller (49')
Harris (55')
Bombito (45+3'), Maxso (59'), Mihailovic (74')
Sep 24, 2023 3.30am
Portland
3-2
Colorado
Antony (19'), Moreno (30'), Mora (71')
Caliskan (24'), Mora (40'), Bravo (48'), Zuparic (64'), Boli (90+6')
Rubio (31'), Gutman (43')
Leyva (45+3'), Rubio (70'), Diaz Espinoza (90')