MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 21:59:00| >> :60:1043:1043:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera

France U23s
1 - 0
Guinea U23s

Sildillia (75')
Bade (45+9'), Lacazette (49'), Kone (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keita (74'), Naby Juni Camara (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: France U23s 3-0 USA U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guinea U23s 1-2 N.Zealand U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: France 2-0 Guinea

A victory takes France into the competition's last eight, and the tournament hosts should have enough to secure a routine win against opponents expected to focus on frustrating and containing the more fancied home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France Under-23s win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw has a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guinea U23s has a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Guinea U23s win it is 0-1 (5.02%).

Result
France Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
67.2% (4.061 4.06) 20.73% (-1.608 -1.61) 12.07% (-2.448 -2.45)
Both teams to score 41.41% (-1.777 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (1.248 1.25)52.29% (-1.243 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (1.066 1.07)73.99% (-1.061 -1.06)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (1.75 1.75)14.69% (-1.745 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (3.25 3.25)42.87% (-3.245 -3.25)
Guinea U23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.54% (-3.141 -3.14)51.46% (3.145 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35% (-2.182 -2.18)85.65% (2.188 2.19)
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 67.19%
    Guinea U23s 12.07%
    Draw 20.73%
France Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 13.9% (0.96 0.96)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 8.89% (1.097 1.1)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.238 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.745 0.75)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.273 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.364 0.36)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.162 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.797 -0.8)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.357 -0.36)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.73%
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.754 -0.75)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.594 -0.59)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.432 -0.43)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: France vs Guinea

France
89.1%
Draw
8.7%
Guinea
2.2%
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