As merciless as New Zealand were during their qualification period, with no disrespect to Fiji or Vanuatu, Guinea are made of much tougher stuff. On this occasion, we just cannot pick a clear winner and expect the two knockout hopefuls to shake hands on a point apiece, not an awful start for either manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guinea U23s win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea U23s win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.44%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it is 0-1 (6.75%).

Result
Guinea U23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
53.17% ( -22.57)	24.06% ( 7.88)	22.76% ( 14.69)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

11.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.07% (

-4.38)

48.93% (

4.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.98% (

-4.1)

71.02% (

4.1)

Guinea U23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-8.3)

18.34% (

8.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55% (

-16.34)

49.45% (

16.34)

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

18.72)

36% (

-18.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

14.94)

72.77% (

-14.93)

Score Analysis

Guinea U23s 53.16%

New Zealand Under-23s 22.76%

Draw 24.06%

Guinea U23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -1.43) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.95) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -5.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -1.22) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -5.75) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.78) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -1.53) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -4.12) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.16%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 3.83) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 1.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 2.32) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.55) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 3.43) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 3.55) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 2.45) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 1.53) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 1.16) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.97) Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.76%