MX23RW : Friday, August 2 23:06:41| >> :60:2741:2741:
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Paris 2024
Olympic Games Men's Football | Quarter-Finals
Aug 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique

France U23s
1 - 0
Argentina U23s

Mateta (5')
Mateta (33'), Kone (41'), Restes (77'), Akliouche (88'), Magassa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Di Cesare (21'), Medina (53'), Mascherano (55'), Beltran (55'), Garcia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-23s

All competitions
Last Game: N Zealand U23s 0-3 France U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

Argentina Under-23s

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine U23s 0-2 Argentina U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: France 2-1 Argentina

 While France had the luxury of resting some of their top stars in midweek, Argentina's notable names were not afforded such respite due to their volatile group standing, and fatigue may be evident for the South Americans here. A titanic battle can be expected regardless, one where Henry's men ought to lose their perfect defensive record, but the hosts still have our backing to march on to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France Under-23s win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Argentina Under-23s has a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Argentina Under-23s win it is 0-1 (7.01%).

Result
France Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
56.24% (0.261 0.26) 24.51% (-0.044 -0.04) 19.25% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.1 -0.1)54.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)75.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)19.32% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (0.101 0.1)51.08% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Argentina Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.305 -0.31)42.85% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.258 -0.26)79.16% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 56.23%
    Argentina Under-23s 19.25%
    Draw 24.5%
France Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.25%

How you voted: France vs Argentina

France
71.7%
Argentina
28.3%
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