Sweden Women 3-1 Japan Women - Olympic Games Women's Football Quarter-Finals - Athletics

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Japan Women had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Japan Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Japan Women
49.26%	24.96%	25.78%

Both teams to score 52.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07%

49.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08%

71.91%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35%

52.65%

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.56%

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 49.25%

Japan Women 25.78%

Draw 24.95%

Sweden Women	Draw	Japan Women
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.25%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.78%