New Zealand Women 0-2 Sweden Women - Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage - Athletics

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	Sweden Women
23.92%	22.57%	53.51%

Both teams to score 58.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84%

41.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45%

63.54%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04%

66.95%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61%

15.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81%

44.19%

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 23.92%

Sweden Women 53.51%

Draw 22.57%

New Zealand Women	Draw	Sweden Women
2-1 @ 6.17% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.92%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.85% 0-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.51%