World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 6.30am UK

FMG Stadium Waikato

New Zealand
8 - 1
Vanuatu

Garbett (11'), Wood (23', 24'), Bindon (31', 38'), Just (74'), Singh (82'), McCowatt (89')

FT(HT: 5-1)

Tasip (17')
Jeffrey (37')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Vanuatu

Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 2.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (1.05%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Vanuatu
90.28% ( -0.16)	7.3% ( 0.12)	2.42% ( 0.03)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

New Zealand	Draw	Vanuatu
3-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.55% Total : 90.27%	1-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 7.3%	0-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 2.42%