UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Netherlands national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Spain national football team

Netherlands
2 - 2
Spain

Gakpo (28'), Reijnders (46')
Gakpo (45+1'), van Dijk (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (9'), Merino (90+3')
Huijsen (61'), Perez (72')

The Match

Match Report

Mikel Merino comes up with a last-gasp leveller as Spain fight back to draw 2-2 with 10-man Netherlands in the first leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash with Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Spain

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawSpain
35.98% (-1.391 -1.39)25.21% (0.126 0.13)38.81% (1.269 1.27)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-0.64299999999999 -0.64)46.67% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-0.605 -0.61)68.94% (0.61 0.61)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-1.062 -1.06)25.3% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-1.484 -1.48)60.07% (1.488 1.49)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.378 0.38)23.76% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.542 0.54)57.91% (-0.537 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 35.98%
    Spain 38.81%
    Draw 25.2%
NetherlandsDrawSpain
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.325 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.299 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.81%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Spain

Netherlands
16.7%
Draw
11.5%
Spain
71.9%
270
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Netherlands
1-1
Spain
Van de Beek (47')
van de Beek (89')
Canales (18')
Reguilon (49'), Olmo (84')
> Preview
Mar 29, 2020 6pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
P-P
Spain
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
2-0
Spain
> Match Report
Jun 13, 2014 8pm
Group Stage
Spain
1-5
Netherlands
Alonso (27' pen.)
Casillas (65')
Van Persie (44', 72'), Robben (53', 80'), De Vrij (64')
de Guzman (25'), de Vrij (41'), van Persie (66')
> Match Report
Jun 12, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Spain
3-0
Netherlands
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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