/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnmaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flatlog.png)
N. Macedonia1 - 0Latvia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia | 
| 68.36% (  -0.02) | 20.41% (  0.01) | 11.23% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 39.82% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.03% (  -0.03) | 52.97% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.43% (  -0.02) | 74.57% (  0.02) | 
| North Macedonia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.45% (  -0.02) | 14.54% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.42% (  -0.03) | 42.58% (  0.03) | 
| Latvia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 46.6% | 53.4% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.1% (  0) | 86.9% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia | 
| 1-0 @ 14.97% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 14.43% 3-0 @ 9.28% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% (  -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% (  -0) 4-0 @ 4.47% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.81% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% (  -0) 5-0 @ 1.72% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.08% (  -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (  0) 0-0 @ 7.77% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.87% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 2.95% (  0) 0-2 @ 1.53% (  0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.23% | 
How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Latvia

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||

/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F37%2Fwelcome-to-sports-mole-transparent-click-area.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fsports-mole-favicon-32x32.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F18%2Fuefa-nations-league-header-www_1.jpg)


/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png) 
 /https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png)