Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.