World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 10, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Montserrat
1 - 3
Panama

Simon (48', 48')
Comley (51'), Comley (51')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Welch (40', 40'), Fajardo (61', 61'), Luis Rodriguez (70', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Montserrat and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Panama

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Panama 2-0 Guyana
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Montserrat	Draw	Panama
12.52% ( -0.35)	18.63% ( -0.59)	68.85% ( 0.94)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Montserrat	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 12.52%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.63%	0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.74% Total : 68.84%