Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
31.35% | 25.51% | 43.14% |
Both teams to score 54.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% | 49.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% | 71.15% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% | 29.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% | 65.27% |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% | 22.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% | 56.31% |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.35% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |