Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 20, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Honduras national football team

Mexico
4 - 0
Honduras

Jimenez (42', 42'), Martin (72', 72', 90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.), Sanchez (85', 85')
Montes (22'), Montes (22'), Rodriguez (27'), Rodriguez (27'), Jimenez (58'), Jimenez (58'), Malagon (90+2'), Malagon (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Najar (45+2'), Najar (45+2'), Rosales (54'), Rosales (54'), Castillo (90+2'), Rodriguez (90+3'), Castillo (90+2'), Maldonado (90+3'), Rodriguez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawHonduras
45.76% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)26.62% (-0.02 -0.02)27.61% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.114 0.11)55.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.093999999999998 0.09)76.5% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)24.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)58.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73% (0.13300000000001 0.13)35.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.14 0.14)72.02% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 45.76%
    Honduras 27.61%
    Draw 26.62%
MexicoDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras

Mexico
57.7%
Draw
15.5%
Honduras
26.8%
71
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Palma (64', 83')

Huerta (18'), Montes (73'), Romo (90')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Mexico
2-0
Honduras
(Aggregate 2-2 | Mexico win 4-2 on penalties)
Chavez (43'), Alvarez (90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Sanchez (92'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130'), Romo (130')

Rosales (42'), Lozano (68'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94')
Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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