CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker

Martinique
0 - 0
Guadeloupe

FT

Roussillon (62'), Roussillon (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Martinique and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Martinique

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinique
Friday, October 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinique
Friday, October 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
MartiniqueDrawGuadeloupe
31.63% (-0.969 -0.97)24.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.8% (0.99 0.99)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (-0.274 -0.27)44.86% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.265 -0.27)67.21% (0.271 0.27)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.738 -0.74)27.04% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.98 -0.98)62.4% (0.986 0.99)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.333 0.33)20.58% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (0.52 0.52)53.12% (-0.514 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 31.63%
    Guadeloupe 43.8%
    Draw 24.57%
MartiniqueDrawGuadeloupe
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.8%

How you voted: Martinique vs Guadeloupe

Martinique
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Guadeloupe
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 9pm
League A
Guadeloupe
0-1
Martinique

Senneville (62')
Labeau (86')
Varane (45+2')
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