UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
1 - 2
Romania

Kucys (7' pen.)
Slivka (48'), Kucys (77'), Gineitis (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marin (18' pen.), Dragus (65')
Burca (63'), Coman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Kosovo
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Nations League

Romania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Romania
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Romania
19.09% ( -0.49)	24.56% ( -0.21)	56.35% ( 0.7)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Lithuania	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.09%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.28% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 56.34%