Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Reims had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
| 49.39% | 25.88% | 24.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.75% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.77% | 37.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.98% | 74.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 66 |
| 2 | Marseille | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Lens | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 54 |
| 5 | Rennes | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 50 |
| 6 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Nice | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
| 8 | Lorient | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Reims | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Clermont | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 26 |
| 16 | Brest | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 23 |
| 18 | Troyes | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
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