Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
