Liga MX | Gameweek 1

Jul 5, 2024 at 11.45pm UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
vs.
Santos Laguna

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between Puebla and Santos Laguna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

We say: Puebla 1-2 Santos Laguna

Puebla were the worst side in the top flight in the second half of the season and have not made many significant signings to suggest that a complete turnaround in performance is likely here. Indeed Santos were far form their best during the run-in last term, but they certainly had more firepower than the hosts and we feel they will get the season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Puebla has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Puebla win is 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result
Puebla	Draw	Santos Laguna
31.56% ( -1.04)	23.76% ( -0.34)	44.68% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 60.79% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

1.21)

41.11% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

1.22)

63.5% (

-1.22)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

-0.05)

25.25% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.06)

60% (

0.07)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

1.08)

18.67% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.99% (

1.78)

50.01% (

-1.78)

Score Analysis

Puebla 31.56%

Santos Laguna 44.68%

Draw 23.75%

Puebla	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.68%