Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.