Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
